Infosys ATP Beyond The Numbers: Back From The Brink

Kicking off a new series that takes a deep dive into Infosys ATP Scores & Stats, we look at the players who come up clutch to hold serve when they are in deep trouble.

When it comes to serving stats, there is no bigger player, literally or figuratively, than 6’11” Ivo Karlovic. The Croatian, who is on track to soon become the all-time ace-serving king, is a master of digging himself out of trouble on serve.

He is the only player on tour who comes close to holding serve from a 0/40 deficit half the time. Of the 17 times he has been in a 0/40 hole in 2015, he has dug himself out eight times to hold serve. That’s a recovery rate of 47 per cent, way ahead of second-placed Denis Istomin at 39 per cent and John Isner at 38 per cent.

Holds from 0/40 (In 2015, minimum five holds)

Player

Holds From 0/40

Times Down 0/40

%

Ivo Karlovic

8

17

47

Denis Istomin

7

18

39

John Isner

8

21

38

Sam Groth

5

14

36

Roger Federer

6

17

35

At 15/40, Karlovic has his opponents exactly where he wants them. From this deficit Dr. Ivo rallies to hold serve more than two-thirds of the time. Two other players also have a better than even-money chance of holding serve from this position: Canadian Milos Raonic bails himself out 53 per cent of the time and John Isner holds serve 51 per cent of the time.

Holds from 15/40 (In 2015, minimum 15 holds)

Player

Holds From 15/40

Times Down 15/40

%

Ivo Karlovic

27

39

69

Milos Raonic

17

32

53

John Isner

22

43

51

Vasek Pospisil

18

39

46

Roger Federer

17

37

46

Kei Nishikori

27

60

45

How do these category leaders compare to the game’s dominant quartet of Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal, known as the Big Four? From 0/40, Federer is fifth on the overall list, holding 35 per cent of the time. Djokovic holds a respectable 25 per cent of the time, but Murray, at 13 per cent, and Nadal at 11 per cent, rarely claw back from a 0/40 deficit to hold.

Holds from 0/40 (The 'Big Four')

Player

Times Held

Times Down 0/40

%

Roger Federer

6

17

35

Novak Djokovic

6

24

25

Andy Murray

5

38

13

Rafael Nadal

3

28

11

From 15/40 Federer is also fifth on the overall list, rallying to hold serve 46 per cent of the time. Nadal makes an enormous improvement, holding 41 per cent of the time, a higher rate than Djokovic at 36 per cent and Murray at 33 per cent.

Holds from 15/40 (The 'Big Four')

Player

Times Held

Times Down 15/40

%

Roger Federer

17

37

46

Rafael Nadal

24

58

41

Novak Djokovic

26

72

36

Andy Murray

29

89

33


Note: Infosys ATP Scores & Stats includes data from ATP World Tour and Grand Slam main draw matches. It does not include data from Davis Cup or the ATP Challenger Tour. Data correct as at 20 September, 2015.

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