Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings Projection

Alcaraz's No. 1 Chase, Sinner's Chance For Huge Rankings Jump

Tiafoe can crack the Top 10 for the first time
March 18, 2023
Carlos Alcaraz can return to World No. 1 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings by winning the Indian Wells title.
Peter Staples/ATP Tour
Carlos Alcaraz can return to World No. 1 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings by winning the Indian Wells title. By ATP Staff

There is plenty at stake this weekend beyond the prestigious BNP Paribas Open title at Indian Wells. Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe all have a big opportunity to make a move in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings.

If Alcaraz claims his third ATP Masters 1000 trophy, the Spaniard will pass Novak Djokovic and return to World No. 1 on Monday. The 19-year-old faces Sinner in the semi-finals.

Alcaraz, who became the youngest World No. 1 in history last September, held top spot for 20 weeks. He can return to the position for the first time since January, when Djokovic reclaimed World No. 1.

Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings (Entering Indian Wells SFs)

 Player  Live Ranking  Current Points  Max Points
 Carlos Alcaraz  2  6,780  7,420
 Daniil Medvedev  5  4,090  4,730
 Jannik Sinner  11  2,925  3,565
 Frances Tiafoe  14  2,710  3,350

The teen’s semi-final opponent, Sinner, has a big opportunity to climb to a new career high. The Italian is No. 11 in the Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings, but can surge to World No. 6 with the title.

Sinner’s career-high Pepperstone ATP Ranking is World No. 9, which he achieved in November 2021. The 21-year-old will return to the Top 10 by reaching the final.

Medvedev will be World No. 5 on Monday regardless of his performance the rest of the week at Indian Wells. However, a title in the California desert will put him within 410 points of No. 4 Casper Ruud in the Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings on Monday.

Tiafoe will crack the Top 10 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings for the first time if he wins his maiden Masters 1000 title this weekend. Even if the American loses in the semi-finals to Medvedev, he will match his career-high World No. 14 on Monday.

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