Pepperstone ATP Live Rankings Projection

How Medvedev's Roland Garros Loss Impacts Battle For World No. 1

Alcaraz, Djokovic and Tsitsipas still in contention
May 31, 2023
Carlos Alcaraz is currently No. 1 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings.
AFP/Getty Images
Carlos Alcaraz is currently No. 1 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings. By ATP Staff

Daniil Medvedev’s first-round loss at Roland Garros Tuesday has taken him out of the battle for No. 1 in the Pepperstone ATP Rankings for the time being. However, the top spot is still up for grabs this fortnight.

World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz is still in pole position to retain his place after the clay-court major. Even if he loses in the second round to Taro Daniel, a lot would need to happen for him to let slip No. 1.

Round-By-Round Pepperstone ATP Rankings Points

 Player  R1  R2  R3  R4  QF  SF  F  W
 No. 1 Alcaraz  6,465  6,500  6,545  6,635  6,815  7,175  7,655  8,455
 No. 2 Medvedev  6,100  -  -  -  -  -  -  
 No. 3 Djokovic  5,605  5,640  5,685  5,775  5,955  6,315  6,795  7,595
 No. 5 Tsitsipas  4,560  4,605  4,650  4,740  4,920  5,280  5,760  6,560

If Alcaraz loses his next match, he will depart Paris with 6,500 points. World No. 3 Novak Djokovic would need to reach the final at Roland Garros to surpass that mark. World No. 5 Stefanos Tsitsipas would need to win the title to have a chance. If Alcaraz advances to the fourth round, Tsitsipas will be eliminated from contention for World No. 1.

It is possible there will be a blockbuster showdown between Alcaraz and Djokovic in the semi-finals. Should that clash come to pass, there would be implications in the battle for World No. 1.

An Alcaraz win over Djokovic would guarantee his spot atop the Pepperstone ATP Rankings after Roland Garros. If Djokovic wins, he would give himself an opportunity to win the title and with it, World No. 1.

Pepperstone ATP Race To Turin

 Player  Points
 1) Daniil Medvedev  4,310
 2) Carlos Alcaraz  3,500
 3) Novak Djokovic   2,790
 4) Stefanos Tsitsipas  2,635
 5) Jannik Sinner  2,320

Medvedev’s early loss also impacts the calendar-year Pepperstone ATP Race To Turin. The 27-year-old arrived in Paris with a healthy lead in the Live Race and with it, the battle for year-end No. 1.

But now Alcaraz, Djokovic and Tsitsipas have an opportunity to pass Medvedev, or at least make up ground. Alcaraz would need to reach the final in Paris to bump Medvedev from first, while Djokovic and Tsitsipas would both need to win the title.

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